Transition probabilities from selected texts: Difference between revisions
→Second Order Transition Probabilies: second order added |
→First Order Transition Probabilities: added corrected zeroes values |
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English (1984 - George Orwell) | English (1984 - George Orwell) | ||
<br/>1.4641414719132793E-67 | <br/>Markov Probability: 1.4641414719132793E-67 | ||
<br/>Corrected Zeroes: 1 | |||
French (Les Orientales - Victor Hugo) | French (Les Orientales - Victor Hugo) | ||
<br/>1.1571661202766258E-70 | <br/>Markov Probability: 1.1571661202766258E-70 | ||
<br/>Corrected Zeroes: 2 | |||
Vigenere Cipher (1984 - George Orwell, Keyword LEMON) | Vigenere Cipher (1984 - George Orwell, Keyword LEMON) | ||
<br/>1.646391769425068E-70 | <br/>Markov Probability: 1.646391769425068E-70 | ||
<br/>Corrected Zeroes: 0 | |||
German (Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud) | German (Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud) | ||
<br/>Note: does not account for Eszett (sharp s) character | <br/>Note: does not account for Eszett (sharp s) character | ||
<br/>3.8662593620911806E-73 | <br/>Markov Probability: 3.8662593620911806E-73 | ||
<br/>Corrected Zeroes: 1 | |||
English Initial Letters (1984 - George Orwell) | English Initial Letters (1984 - George Orwell) | ||
<br/> | <br/>Markov Probability: 1.9187432339606176E-56 | ||
<br/>Corrected Zeroes: 0 | |||
French Initial Letters (Les Orientales - Victor Hugo) | French Initial Letters (Les Orientales - Victor Hugo) | ||
<br/>counting words like l'hopital as two words ( | <br/>counting words like l'hopital as two words (''le'' followed by ''hopital''): | ||
<br/>7.809561685705767E-61 | <br/>Markov Probability: 7.809561685705767E-61 | ||
<br/>discounting the | <br/>Corrected Zeroes: 0 | ||
<br/>1.1841007473332175E-60 | <br/>discounting the ''l''' (only consider the ''hopital'') | ||
<br/>Markov Probability: 1.1841007473332175E-60 | |||
<br/>Corrected Zeroes: 0 | |||
German Initial Letters (Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud) | German Initial Letters (Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud) | ||
<br/>Note: does not account for Eszett (sharp s) character. Though I don't think a word can ever start with this character | <br/>Note: does not account for Eszett (sharp s) character. Though I don't think a word can ever start with this character | ||
<br/>4.29592233581315E-64 | <br/>Markov Probability: 4.29592233581315E-64 | ||
<br/>Corrected Zeroes: 1 | |||
==Second Order Transition Probabilies== | ==Second Order Transition Probabilies== | ||
Revision as of 17:17, 5 June 2009
The Somerton Man's code (without the extra line) is 44 characters long. So, if the text is purely random (1/26 chance of each letter appearing) then the probability of attaining this particular string of 44 is (1/26)^44 = 5.51027E-63. This is a good initial comparison.
First Order Transition Probabilities
English (1984 - George Orwell)
Markov Probability: 1.4641414719132793E-67
Corrected Zeroes: 1
French (Les Orientales - Victor Hugo)
Markov Probability: 1.1571661202766258E-70
Corrected Zeroes: 2
Vigenere Cipher (1984 - George Orwell, Keyword LEMON)
Markov Probability: 1.646391769425068E-70
Corrected Zeroes: 0
German (Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud)
Note: does not account for Eszett (sharp s) character
Markov Probability: 3.8662593620911806E-73
Corrected Zeroes: 1
English Initial Letters (1984 - George Orwell)
Markov Probability: 1.9187432339606176E-56
Corrected Zeroes: 0
French Initial Letters (Les Orientales - Victor Hugo)
counting words like l'hopital as two words (le followed by hopital):
Markov Probability: 7.809561685705767E-61
Corrected Zeroes: 0
discounting the l' (only consider the hopital)
Markov Probability: 1.1841007473332175E-60
Corrected Zeroes: 0
German Initial Letters (Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud)
Note: does not account for Eszett (sharp s) character. Though I don't think a word can ever start with this character
Markov Probability: 4.29592233581315E-64
Corrected Zeroes: 1
Second Order Transition Probabilies
English (1984 - George Orwell)
Markov Probability: 2.115089006082431E-43
Corrected Zeroes: 14
German (Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud)
Note: does not account for Eszett (sharp s) character
Markov Probability: 3.79644909538402E-35
Corrected Zeroes: 21
French (Les Orientales - Victor Hugo)
Markov Probability: 4.429249667204738E-34
Corrected Zeroes: 18
Vigenere (English - 1984 - Orwell)
Markov Probability: 1.6699440985106574E-60
Corrected Zeroes: 8
English Initial Letters (1984 - George Orwell)
Markov Probability: 7.009981410871232E-53
Corrected Zeroes: 2
German Initial Letters (Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud)
Note: does not account for Eszett (sharp s) character
Markov Probability: 2.908650572588623E-32
Corrected Zeroes: 17
Les Orientales - Victor Hugo.txt
Not counting l' as a word (but counting the word contracted with it):
Markov Probability: 1.0762921500526206E-40
Corrected Zeroes: 12
Counting the "l'" as one word and the other contracted word as another word:
Markov Probability: 2.970787716759867E-41
Corrected Zeroes: 12